· Στα διεθνή είχαμε τζαι μιαν ενδιαφέρουσα αποκάλυψη που το Bloomberg ότι η Σαουδική Αραβία απείλησε τους δυτικούς [της G7 – ιδιαίτερα τους ευρωπαίους] ότι αν κατάσχουν ρωσικά κεφάλαια, με βάση το ουκρανικό, θα μπορούσε να ξεπουλήσει ομόλογα [ιδιαίτερα του γαλλικού χρέους].... Ρωσία τζαι Σαουδική Αραβία μπορεί να μεν έχουν πολλά κοινά στις ταυτίσεις του στην Μέση Ανατολή, αλλά η συγκεκριμένη κίνηση μάλλον καταγράφει την ανάδυση μιας άλλης διεθνούς τάσης με βάση τους BRICS τζαι όϊ μόνο... :) -
·
Στα διεθνή είχαμε τζαι μιαν
ενδιαφέρουσα αποκάλυψη που το Bloomberg
ότι η Σαουδική Αραβία απείλησε τους δυτικούς [της G7 – ιδιαίτερα τους ευρωπαίους] ότι
αν κατάσχουν ρωσικά κεφάλαια, με βάση το ουκρανικό, θα μπορούσε να ξεπουλήσει ομόλογα
[ιδιαίτερα του γαλλικού χρέους].... Ρωσία τζαι Σαουδική Αραβία μπορεί να μεν
έχουν πολλά κοινά στις ταυτίσεις του στην Μέση Ανατολή, αλλά η συγκεκριμένη
κίνηση μάλλον καταγράφει την ανάδυση μιας άλλης διεθνούς τάσης με βάση τους BRICS τζαι όϊ μόνο... :) -
Τζαι
το συμπέρασμα της πιο κάτω ανάλυσης πέρα από την αναδυόμενη σαουδαραβική αυτονομία,
εν ότι τελικά το πετροδολάριο, που ήταν βασικό στήριγμα της αμερικάνικης
χρηματιστικής ηγεμονίας, εκατάντησεν σήμερα να εν όπλο στα σιέρκα τζήνων που
έχουν δολάρια τζαι μπορούν να εκβιάζουν τζαι τις ΗΠΑ να το ξεφορτωθούν τζαι να
προκαλέσουν κρίση..
Σε
τούτο το πλαίσιο, η πολεμική/weaponizing
του δολαρίου μάλλον γίνεται μπούμερανγκ..
«Saudis
Threatened To Sell European Bonds If Russian Assets Were Confiscated
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Jul 09, 2024 - 08:45 PM
In a
fascinating geopolitical development, Bloomberg reports
that Saudi Arabia privately hinted earlier this year it
would sell some (or all)
of its European debt holdings if the G-7 confiscated Russia's frozen assets.
As a
reminder, we noted in May the
European Union had approved a US-backed plan to use profits and interest
generated from Russian assets to help arm Ukraine; however that was a sharp
reversal from the previously proposed plan - one which was heavily promoted by
Zelensky and Ukraine - to confiscate some $300 billion in Russian assets. Many
were wondering what prompted the reversal.
Now
we know, and as Bloomberg notes "the
Kingdom’s finance ministry told some G-7 counterparts of its opposition to the
idea, which was meant to support Ukraine, with one
person describing it as a veiled threat." The Saudis
specifically mentioned debt issued by the French treasury, two of the people
said.
Most
of the $300 billion in frozen Russian assets are held in Europe -
particularly France, Germany, and Belgium. Which makes today's report from
Bloomberg even more interesting from a geopolitical fissures perspective, as it
means that as a result of its ability to spark a liquidation panic in Europe's
unstable bond market, it has far more leverage than Ukraine and the
"virtue signaling" western media.
Now, notably, Macron called an election and that election swung wildly to the far-left in the interim, but since these 'talks' happened with the Saudis, French bond yield spreads to Germany have exploded wider...
Surely
this selling panic coming at a time when the Saudis are using French bonds as
political leverage, was just a coincidence.
Curiously,
while Saudi Arabia has maintained strong relations with Moscow, it has also
built ties with Ukraine. And yet, it is clear that when push comes to shove, the Crown Prince is firmly in Putin's
corner.
Bloomberg concludes
by noting that whatever its motive, Saudi
Arabia’s move underscores its growing clout on the world stage
and the G-7’s difficulty in garnering support from so-called Global South
nations for Ukraine.
And
the US should know: as a reminder back in April 2016, the NYT reported that
Saudi Arabia threatened then president Barack Obama to liquidate the $750BN in
US Treasuries it owned at the time (a move which would have spawned a bond
market crash) if it was found responsible for the Sept 11 attacks
Then
- like now - the Saudis
won (amusingly, Saudi Arabia proceeded to slash its TSY
holdings in half by the end of 2016 anyway). But the bigger point here is
two-fold:
- While the
petrodollar may or may not be dead, its leverage is a pale shadow of its
former self; in fact the only leverage goes to those who still own US
paper, and can threaten to dump it at will.
- Weaponizing the US dollar - as irrelevant as it may now be - against Russia was a catastrophic decision that will reverberate for years, and will force the Fed to eventually buy up all the US debt that the former holders of Treasuries will one way or another sell.»
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